Lake
Ontario Outflow Strategy
(April
1, 2004) |
The International St. Lawrence River Board of Control
(Board) met on March 23-24 and discussed current and
anticipated conditions, and decided to modify the outflow
strategy announced on March 12. In view of the water level
conditions throughout the Great Lakes, the Board decided its
long-term strategy is to closely follow the regulation plan.
For the short-term, the strategy will be:
- Outflows will generally be in accordance with those
specified by Plan 1958-D;
- Outflows may be reduced if necessary to prevent
flooding in the Montreal area. Any such underdischarge
will be kept on Lake Ontario for future use.
The strategy will be followed until the Board’s April
14 teleconference when conditions will again be reviewed.
The Board considered the following factors (among others)
in its strategy considerations:
► On March 22, Lakes Superior and Michigan-Huron
were 19 cm (7.5 inches) and 44 cm (17 inches) below
average, respectively. Lake Erie was 11 cm (4.3 inches)
below average and 16 cm (6.3 inches) above last year. Lake
Erie is expected to remain below average throughout the
next 6 months.
► On March 22, Lake Ontario was at elevation
74.73 m (245.18 ft). This was 2 cm (0.8 inch) above
average and 36 cm (14.2 inches) above last year. The Lake
had been slowly falling from mid-January to early March,
but has since begun its seasonal rise. This level is also
64 cm (2.1 ft) below the upper regulation limit, and 58 cm
(1.9 ft) above the lower regulation limit that applies
during the navigation season.
► The level of Lake Ontario is expected to rise
to about 74.96 m (245.93 ft) by the end of June. The
end-of-June level would then be about 8 cm (3.1 inches)
below average and 41 cm (16.1 inches) below the upper
regulation limit. If very wet or very dry conditions
prevail between now and the end of June, the water level
could be 21 cm (8.3 inches) higher or 22 cm (8.7 inches)
lower, respectively, than the expected level of 74.96 m
(245.93 ft). The risk of exceeding the upper regulation
limit is extremely low.
► The below-average levels of Lake Erie will
produce below-average inflows to Lake Ontario over the
next 6 months.
► Downstream conditions were noted: On March 22
Lake St. Louis was 18 cm (7.1 inches) below average but 48
cm (1.6 ft) above last year; Montreal Harbour was 60 cm
(2.0 ft.) below average but 70 cm (2.3 ft) above last
year.
► The water content of the Lake Ontario basin
snow pack was estimated to be about 117 % of the average
in early March, and the Ottawa River basin snow pack was
close to average.
The Board, in conjunction with its staff, will continue
to monitor the situation and act accordingly. This
information can also be found on the Board web site (see
below) and will be updated as required.
The International Joint Commission was created under the
Boundary Waters Treaty of 1909 to help prevent and resolve
disputes over the use of waters along the Canada-United
States boundary. Its responsibilities include approving
certain projects that would change water levels on the other
side of the boundary, such as the international hydropower
project at Massena, New York and Cornwall, Ontario. When it
approves a project, the Commission’s Orders of Approval
may require that flows through the project meet certain
conditions to protect interests in both countries. For more
information, visit the Commission’s website at www.ijc.org.
The International St. Lawrence River Board of Control was
established by the International Joint Commission, mainly to
ensure that outflows from Lake Ontario meet the requirements
of the Commission’s Orders of Approval. For more
information, visit the Board’s website at www.islrbc.org.
For Release: April 1st, 2004
Contacts:
Reg Golding, Ottawa, Ontario (613) 998-1408
John Kangas, Chicago, Illinois (312) 353-4333
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